Figure 7

Rising spending on Social Security led to falling rates of poverty for the elderly: Social Security expenditures as a share of GDP and poverty rate for 65+, 1959–2019

Elderly poverty Elderly poverty-imputed SS/GDP
1959 35.20% 1.96%
1960 34.24% 2.05%
1961 33.29% 2.24%
1962 32.33% 2.37%
1963 31.37% 2.38%
1964 30.41% 2.34%
1965 29.46% 2.44%
1966 28.50% 28.50% 2.43%
1967 29.50% 2.45%
1968 25.00% 2.62%
1969 25.30% 2.59%
1970 24.60% 2.93%
1971 21.60% 3.14%
1972 18.60% 3.20%
1973 16.30% 3.56%
1974 14.60% 3.73%
1975 15.30% 3.91%
1976 15.00% 3.98%
1977 14.10% 4.00%
1978 14.00% 3.89%
1979 15.20% 3.91%
1980 15.70% 4.15%
1981 15.30% 4.32%
1982 14.60% 4.60%
1983 13.80% 4.52%
1984 12.40% 4.28%
1985 12.60% 4.22%
1986 12.40% 4.23%
1987 12.50% 4.14%
1988 12.00% 4.08%
1989 11.40% 4.03%
1990 12.20% 4.09%
1991 12.40% 4.29%
1992 12.90% 4.32%
1993 12.20% 4.34%
1994 11.70% 4.28%
1995 10.50% 4.29%
1996 10.80% 4.24%
1997 10.50% 4.16%
1998 10.50% 4.07%
1999 9.70% 3.94%
2000 9.90% 3.92%
2001 10.10% 4.02%
2002 10.40% 4.09%
2003 10.20% 4.05%
2004 9.80% 3.98%
2005 10.10% 3.93%
2006 9.40% 3.94%
2007 9.70% 3.98%
2008 9.70% 4.12%
2009 8.90% 4.60%
2010 8.90% 4.60%
2011 8.70% 4.59%
2012 9.10% 4.71%
2013 9.50% 4.76%
2014 10.00% 4.76%
2015 8.80% 4.78%
2016 9.30% 4.78%
2017 9.20% 4.74%
2018 9.70% 4.72%
2019 8.90% 4.81%
Created with Highcharts 4.0.3Social Security expenditures as a share of GDPShare of elderly population below the poverty lineElderly povertySS/GDP1/219601965197019751980198519901995200020052010201520200510%02550%
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Note: Shaded areas denote recessions. No formal data exists in the years between 1959 and 1966 for the percentage of elderly persons living in poverty. The dotted line denotes a linear extrapolation between the earliest data point (1959) and the beginning of the complete series (1966).

Source: Authors' analysis of Current Population Survey, Annual Social and Economic Supplement Historical Poverty Tables [Table 2 and 3] and U.S. Treasury [Table 4a].

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